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Dream - The Indikator Politik Indonesia survey institution released the electability of the candidate pairs in the 2024 Presidential Election. The result shows that candidate pair number 2, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, is still leading compared to its two rivals.
Interestingly, the Anies-Cak Imin pair managed to surpass the electability of the Ganjar-Mahfud MD pair, who are now in the last position.
The survey was conducted from December 30th to January 6th before the third presidential debate in 2024. The survey involved a sample of 1,200 people from all provinces in Indonesia. The survey was conducted through face-to-face interviews. In addition to the 1,200 samples, Indikator Politik also added respondents from 13 provinces, namely Aceh, North Sumatra, South Sumatra, Lampung, Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, East Java, Banten, Bali, East Nusa Tenggara, North Sulawesi, and South Sulawesi. So the total number of respondents became 4,560.
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The survey respondents were asked, 'If the presidential election were held now, who would you choose as the president among the following pairs?'.
The survey respondents were asked, 'If the presidential election were held now, who would you choose as president among the following pairs?'.
Based on the answers of the respondents, the Prabowo-Gibran pair is leading with 45.79%. The Anies-Cak Imin pair achieved 25.47%, while Ganjar-Mahfud received 22.96%. Meanwhile, 5.78% answered "don't know".
Burhanuddin assessed that there is a stagnation in the electability of the Prabowo-Gibran pair based on the previous survey. He stated that Anies experienced an increase, while a downward trend occurred for Ganjar.
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"Does the stagnation of 02 continue until next month? If so, it means there is a possibility of 2 open rounds, but if there is an extraordinary event, it means there is still a possibility of 1 round open for candidate 02. What I can conclude is that 1 round is not certain, 2 rounds are also not certain, but if there are 2 rounds, it is highly likely that candidate number 2 will pass. It is unclear who will accompany Prabowo-Gibran if there are two rounds," added Burhanuddin.
Prabowo stated that KRI Radjiman will pass through dangerous waters. Therefore, he advised all crew members to be united.
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