The Electability of Ganjar-Mahfud Consistently Rebounds, Ensured to Enter the Second Round of the 2024 Presidential Election

"Electability of Ganjar-Mahfud Consistently Rebounds, Ensured to Enter the Second Round of the 2024 Presidential Election"

"Dream - The electability of the presidential and vice-presidential candidate pair Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD in the latest polls from several survey institutions consistently shows a rebound or an increase. This pair, number 3, is predicted to enter the second round in the upcoming presidential election. In a survey released by the Ide Cipta Research and Consulting (ICRC) on Sunday, December 31, 2023, for example, the Ganjar-Mahfud pair is confirmed to enter the second round and will face Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka."

"If we look at the latest ICRC survey data, the 2024 Presidential Election is still predicted to go to 2 rounds," said ICRC Executive Director, Hadi Suprapto Rusli. ICRC uses the Stratified Random Sampling method. The data collection period is from December 20-26, 2023. The data collection technique used is telephone interviews conducted by trained interviewers."

The Electability of Ganjar-Mahfud Consistently Rebounds, Ensured to Enter the Second Round of the 2024 Presidential Election

"According to the survey conducted by ICRC, Prabowo-Gibran still has the highest electability with a figure of 39.4%. Meanwhile, the Ganjar-Mahfud pair is in second place with a figure of 29.1%."

"Meanwhile, the Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar pair obtained a result of 25.6%. The survey population consists of Indonesian citizens who already have the right to vote based on applicable regulations, namely citizens who are at least 17 years old or older, or are married at the time the survey is conducted. The sample size for this survey is 1,230 people with a margin of error of ±2.79%, at a confidence level of 95%."

"ICRC is a survey institution founded by Hadi Suprapto Rusli, who initially joined Indo Barometer and served as the director of winning & strategy. In 2022, Hadi Suprapto Rusli left Indo Barometer and established a survey and consulting institution called Ide Cipta Research & Consulting (ICRC). At ICRC, Hadi Suprapto Rusli serves as the executive director as well as the director of winning & strategy."

"Even though Ganjar is in second place, Hadi said, this pair needs to increase their vote share in West Java. In addition, Ganjar-Mahfud must also be able to maintain and even increase their electability figures in Central Java and the Special Region of Yogyakarta (DIY), which received 55.9%. "If later Ganjar is able to realize all his potential in West Java, I think it will have an impact on entering the second round," he said."

"Not only in rebounds, in the survey results released by the Indonesian Political Expert Institute (IPE), the pair Ganjar-Mahfud Md outperformed Prabowo-Gibran Rakabuming and Anies-Muhaimin."

The IPE Survey Director, Agustanto, in Jakarta, on Tuesday, January 2, 2024, explained that the survey was conducted over three periods, namely August-September, November, and December 2023. The Ganjar-Mahfud pair obtained electability rates of 30.45%, 32.78%, and 33.57% respectively. The Prabowo-Gibran pair received electability rates of 29.89%, 30.75%, and 31.25%. Meanwhile, the Anies-Muhaimin pair collected electability rates of 23.79%, 25.60%, and 26.79%.

"For the period of December 2023, there are still 8.39% of respondents who have not answered or do not know," he said. According to Agustanto, the increase in the electability of the Ganjar-Mahfud pair has a strong relevance to the ideal figures of presidential and vice-presidential candidates desired by the public, namely being close to the people, free from corruption, honest, and trustworthy. In addition, the reason why respondents chose the Prabowo-Gibran pair is not because of their vision and mission, but because of the social assistance they received during the period from October to December 2023."

"There is no political turbulence and anything that disrupts the personification of the Anies-Muhaimin and Ganjar-Mahfud pairs, which could be a factor in why the electability of both pairs is moving and increasing."
The translation of "jelas Agustanto." to English is "clear Agustanto."

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The IPE survey is conducted from August 2023 to January 2024 across all regions of Indonesia. The sampling technique uses a random purposive method, with a sample size of 2,400 respondents.

The release of the survey conducted by IPE has also enlivened news coverage in the national media. The IPE survey was conducted from August 2023 to January 2024 across all regions of Indonesia. The sampling technique used was random purposive sampling, with a total sample size of 2,400 respondents. The survey utilized a sampling error of 2.83% at a 95% confidence level.

The IPE release is linear with the survey released by the Indonesian Survey Institute (ASI). ASI released the results of the electability survey of presidential and vice-presidential candidates among Gen Z following the first debate of the presidential and vice-presidential candidates for the 2024 elections. This IPE survey was conducted from December 16 to 21, 2023, nationally across 34 provinces in Indonesia. ASI stated that the survey population is Gen Z (residents aged 17-23 years). The poll was conducted via telephone survey using the random digit dialing (RDD) method, which is a sampling technique through the random generation of phone numbers, validation, and screening.

Number of samples 1,200 respondents and assuming random sampling, the margin of error (MoE) is +\/- 2.9% at a 95% confidence level. Executive Director of Arus Survei Indonesia, Ali Rif'an, stated that the electability of Ganjar-Mahfud among Gen Z is superior with a score of 34.9% of the votes. In second place is Prabowo-Gibran with 33.1% of the votes and Anies-Cak Imin with 26.1% of the votes.

"I will read the order, the first one, occupying the first position is Ganjar-Mahfud yes Ganjar-Mahfud at 34.9%, then Prabowo-Gibran at 33.1%, the AMIN pair at 26.1%, then undecided voters at 5.9%."

"said Ali Rif'an in the survey release in Central Jakarta, Wednesday, January 3, 2024."

"Ali Rif'an said that the portrait of Gen Z is of critical and more autonomous voters. This is because, demographically, he stated that Gen Z in surveys mostly consists of students and are not yet married."

"Well, this is a portrait of Gen Z, they are critical voters, voters who I think are more autonomous. Because, for the majority, if we look at the demographics, they consist of several students. Then, on average, they are not married yet, so in terms of burden, it is not like the generations above them, the millennial generation and Gen X, which is why their choices are certainly much more critical of these numbers.""

The translation of "ucapnya." to English is "he said."

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"Electability of Ganjar-Mahfud Consistently Rebounds, Ensured to Enter the Second Round of the 2024 Presidential Election"

"There is no political turbulence and anything that disrupts the personification of the Anies-Muhaimin and Ganjar-Mahfud pairs, which could be a factor in why the electability of both pairs is moving and increasing."The translation of "jelas Agustanto." to English is "clear Agustanto."

"I will read the order, the first one, occupying the first position is Ganjar-Mahfud yes Ganjar-Mahfud at 34.9%, then Prabowo-Gibran at 33.1%, the AMIN pair at 26.1%, then undecided voters at 5.9%."

"There is no political turbulence and anything that disrupts the personification of the Anies-Muhaimin and Ganjar-Mahfud pairs, which could be a factor in why the electability of both pairs is moving and increasing."
The translation of "jelas Agustanto." to English is "clear Agustanto."