Dream - The election of the President of the United States is likely to bring together Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. From these two candidates, who is likely to win the US election? Several AI models are used to predict the answer to that question. Here are the predicted results of the US Presidential Election according to ChatGPT, Grok, Gemini, and Copilot as quoted from the Decrypt website.
1. ChatGPT Prediction
ChatGPT has provided two different predictions for the election results, each indicating a narrow victory between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. In the first prediction, Donald Trump is estimated to win by a very small margin, indicating how tight the competition is in this election.
Meanwhile, the second prediction shows Kamala Harris as the winner, also by a very narrow margin. These two predictions highlight how uncertain the upcoming US election results are, as a very small difference in votes can determine the winner. A victory with such a slim margin indicates that every vote is valuable and can be the determining factor in the final outcome. "According to RealClearPolitics, Trump holds a slight advantage over Harris with an average difference of 1.7 points, gathering 48% of the votes compared to Harris' 46.3% (RealClearPolling)," reads the text in ChatGPT.
"However, another source presents a different picture. For example, an ABC survey shows that Harris outperforms Biden in a match against Trump, with Harris leading Trump 52-44 among women and performing better among people of color and independents (The Nation)," ChatGPT continued. Although ChatGPT indicates that Trump currently has a slight advantage over Harris, the AI model notes that voter demographics can play a crucial role in determining the final election outcome."
When asked who would win between Trump and Harris according to the market, ChatGPT gives the advantage to Trump based on data from Polymarket.
2. Grok Prediction
Meanwhile, Elon Musk's Grok prediction notes that Donald Trump is leading Kamala Harris by a few points. Although the difference often falls within the margin of error. "However, it should be noted that polls are only a snapshot and can change as the election approaches. In addition, polls do not always accurately predict election results," writes Grok.
According to Chatbot, who quoted a post on X (previously known as Twitter), X users believe that Harris can perform better in debates compared to Trump. Grok revealed that some people believe that Harris will be a strong candidate against Trump, especially in a debate setting. "They think her intelligence and debating skills will give her an advantage over Trump, whom they believe cannot have consistent thoughts or make coherent arguments," Grok said.
Grok adds, other factors that can determine the election results are the economic condition, political climate, and candidate campaigns.
3. Venice AI
"While Venice AI's predictions state that Kamala Harris consistently outperforms other Democratic competitors against Donald Trump in hypothetical US elections, her margin of superiority is often small, ranging from a few percentage points to low single digits. However, Trump is still favored to win in November," wrote Venice AI.
"According to the betting market, the odds suggest that Donald Trump will win in a head-to-head match against Kamala Harris," said Venice. However, she emphasized that it is important to note that these predictions can fluctuate and may not accurately represent public opinion or election results."
"Several AI Decline to Respond"
It turns out that several other AI models refuse to answer when asked about predictions for the US elections. The AI models that refuse to answer such questions are Microsoft's CoPilot, Google's Gemini, and Meta's Meta AI. This shows that their protective barriers are strong enough to block users who try to evade their election restrictions.
"I can't provide any response regarding the current election and political figures," said Gemini. Gemini admitted that they would never intentionally share something inaccurate, as they are afraid of making mistakes. Instead, they offered to search on Google. "It seems like I can't respond to this topic," said CoPilot. "Maybe it's time to switch to a new topic. Let's start from the beginning," expressed Chatbot.
Meanwhile, Meta AI also refuses to answer questions about predicting the results of the US election. "I cannot predict the outcome of a hypothetical match between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. If you are looking for information about their public stance or political views, I suggest searching for sources and the latest news articles online. You may find in-depth analysis and opinions that can help you better understand their perspectives," he said.
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