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Dream - The results of a survey conducted by Indikator Politik Indonesia from January 28 to February 4, 2024, show that presidential and vice-presidential candidates number 2, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, have the highest electability.
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According to the survey results, the pair with number 1 Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin) has an electability of 24.1 percent, while the pair with number 3 Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD has a popularity rate of 19.6 percent.
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Burhanuddin stated that the survey results above open up the possibility for the 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres) to be held in a more open single round.
"Because the electability trend of Prabowo-Gibran continues to show an increase, while the current number of their selection is already above 50 percent. "So, previously the probability of one round was fifty-fifty, now it has increased again," said Burhanuddin."
However, he reminds that this survey has a margin of error of about 2.9 percent, so the electability of Prabowo-Gibran in reality could still be below 50 percent. "There is still a chance for a second round to occur even though the chances of a second round are decreasing along with the increase in Mr. Prabowo's votes," said Burhanuddin.
This survey was conducted on a total of 5,500 respondents who are eligible voters in the 2024 Election, using multistage random sampling. The number of respondents consists of 1,200 individuals from all provinces, as well as 4,300 respondents from 18 provinces who were oversampled.
This survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent at a confidence level of 95 percent with a sample size of 1,200 respondents.
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