Dream - International research institution Ipsos Public Affairs has released the latest findings regarding the development and dynamics of the electoral process ahead of the 2024 Presidential Election. Political observer and senior researcher at Ipsos Public Affairs, Arif Nurul Imam, stated that the number 2 pair, Prabowo-Gibran, has experienced an increase based on the latest data results.
"While the pair number 1, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin), and pair number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, show stagnation. "Compared to the survey data at the end of November, Prabowo-Gibran experienced an increase from 42.66% to 48.05%, while Anies-Muhaimin tended to stagnate from 22.13% to 21.80%, and Ganjar-Mahfud from 22.95% to 18.35%, while those who have not decided decreased slightly from 12.26% to 11.80%," said Arif, Thursday, January 11, 2024, as quoted from Liputan6.com."
Even, voter dynamics have shifted and have had a significant impact on the electoral competition map. This presidential election, according to Arif, the effect of Joko Widodo (Jokowi) is becoming more apparent because the electability of Prabowo-Gibran has been proven to be increasing.
"Especially Jokowi-Ma'ruf 2019 voters increasingly support this pair of candidate number 2."
ujarnya.
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Meanwhile, according to Arif, the highest level of support solidarity for the presidential candidate pair is with the Prabowo-Gibran pair, which is only 13% and can still change, while the Anies-Muhaimin pair has 15% of supporters who can still shift.
"Meanwhile, there are 20% of Ganjar-Mahfud candidate voters who can still shift. If we associate the increase in public satisfaction with the performance of the Jokowi-Ma'ruf government currently, from 65% in November to 74% in December," he said. "Then, this can be read that any presidential and vice-presidential candidate who is considered to continue the government's work programs of Jokowi-Ma'ruf is likely to receive the Jokowi effect in terms of electability," explained Arif."
"Elektabilitas Partai Politik" translates to "Electability of Political Parties"
Meanwhile, Deputy Director of Ipsos Public Affairs, Sukma Widyanti, conveyed that the electability of political parties (parpol) shows that Gerindra is in the top position, displacing PDI Perjuangan (PDIP).
"Successively, political parties that have the potential to enter parliament are the Gerindra Party, which has reached an electability of up to 27%, followed by the PDI Perjuangan with 21%, Golkar with 8%, PKB with 7%, PKS with 7%, Nasdem with 6%, PAN with 4%, and the Democratic Party with 3%. The positions of PPP and PSI are still not secure as they have decreased compared to the previous survey.""
word Sukma.
"The survey also shows that in PDI Perjuangan bases, especially in Central Java which is referred to as the 'banteng's den', Ganjar's voice is increasingly eroded."
"imbuhnya" translates to "it adds."
The translation of the given text from 'Bahasa' to 'English' while preserving the HTML tags is as follows: Pattern of data collection using multistage random sampling, face-to-face interview method using Ipsos Ifield Computer-Assisted Personal Interviews (CAPI) application. Margin Error: ± 2.19% with a confidence level of 95%.
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