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Survei ISC: Prabowo-Gibran 52%, Anies-Imin 21,7%, Ganjar-Mahfud 18,1%, Pilpres Bakal Satu Putaran?

Survey ISC: Prabowo-Gibran 52%, Anies-Imin 21.7%, Ganjar-Mahfud 18.1%, Will the Presidential Election Be a Single Round?

ISC Survey: Prabowo-Gibran 52%, Anies-Imin 21.7%, Ganjar-Mahfud 18.1%, Will the Presidential Election be a Single Round?

"Dream - The Indonesian Survey Center (ISC) released the latest survey regarding the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential candidates who will compete in the 2024 Presidential Election. In this survey, Candidate Pair number 2 Prabowo-Gibran is leading compared to the other two pairs."

"Prabowo-Gibran obtained a score of 52 percent. Meanwhile, Candidate number 1 Anies-Muhaimin trailed behind with a score of 21.7 percent. Followed by Candidate 03 with a score of 18.1 percent. Meanwhile, respondents who did not answer or undecided voters amounted to 8.2 percent."

ISC Survey: Prabowo-Gibran 52%, Anies-Imin 21.7%, Ganjar-Mahfud 18.1%, Will the Presidential Election be a Single Round?

"The Prabowo-Gibran pair won the battle by obtaining 52.0 percent."
The text translates to: "The words of Senior Researcher ISC, Chairul Pane Chairul, in his survey release, quoted from Liputan6.com, Monday, January 22, 2024."

"Dream.co.id."

Chances of Winning One Round?

"Based on the survey data, Chairul mentioned that Candidate number 02 has a very high chance of winning in the 2024 Presidential Election in just one round. 'The survey results indicate that the election has a great potential to be held in one round, where Prabowo-Gibran will be the winner,' said Chairul."

               
ISC Survey: Prabowo-Gibran 52%, Anies-Imin 21.7%, Ganjar-Mahfud 18.1%, Will the Presidential Election be a Single Round?

Compared to the previous survey data, ISC noted a positive trend of improvement from the Prabowo-Gibran candidate pair.

"Previous Survey Results"

In the previous period, from November 25th to December 4th, 2023, the Prabowo-Gibran candidate obtained a percentage of 44.4%, Ganjar-Mahfud 25.9%, and Anies-Muhaimin 25.4%.

"The dynamics of electability of the candidates occurred after the debate where Prabowo-Gibran's trend actually increased, and the Anies-Muhaimin and Ganjar-Mahfud candidates tended to decrease from the survey period last November,"
reveal him.

"Dream.co.id."

ISC conveys that the data shows that 80 percent of respondents are already certain about their choice. Meanwhile, there are 15.7 percent who are still uncertain, and 4.3 percent who choose not to answer.

ISC Survey: Prabowo-Gibran 52%, Anies-Imin 21.7%, Ganjar-Mahfud 18.1%, Will the Presidential Election be a Single Round?

"Head to Head Simulation"

Chairul also explained that ISC conducted a head-to-head simulation, or two pairs competing to see their electability. The result is that Prabowo-Gibran actually won convincingly. When Prabowo-Gibran was pitted against Ganjar-Mahfud, the result was 63.3 percent compared to 24.5 percent. Meanwhile, undecided voters accounted for 12.2 percent. Meanwhile, when Prabowo-Gibran was pitted against Anies-Muhaimin, the result showed 69.9 percent compared to 20.7 percent with an undecided voters rate of 9.4 percent.

"Strong voters tend to keep increasing while swing voters are the opposite. Where the Prabowo-Gibran pair obtained the largest portion of strong voters compared to the other two candidates,""
Chairul.

"Dream.co.id."

"Survey ISC"

The ISC survey was conducted from January 11th to January 19th, 2024, involving 1,670 respondents from 34 provinces in Indonesia. The method used was random digit dialing. The result has a margin of error (MoE) of 2.4 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent.

               
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