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Survei Indo Riset: Elektabilitas Anies-Cak Imin Naik Pasca Debat Perdana, Prabowo dan Ganjar Turun

Survey Indo Riset: Anies-Cak Imin's electability rises after the first debate, Prabowo and Ganjar decline.

Indo Riset Survey: Anies-Cak Imin's Electability Rises After the First Debate, Prabowo and Ganjar Decline

Dream - The first presidential debate in 2024 has a significant impact on the electability of each candidate pair. This is evident from the latest survey results by Indo Riset institution, which data collection was conducted from 18 to 23 December 2023.

"There is a tendency for debates to have an influence on the votes of the candidate pairs. The survey conducted by Indo Riset after the first presidential debate found that for the first time, Prabowo's votes have decreased in the past 3 months."
Researcher Indo Riset, Roki Arbi, stated in his statement, Friday, December 29, 2023.

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"Survei Prabowo" translates to "Prabowo Survey" in English.

The survey results found that the voice of presidential candidate (capres) number 2 Prabowo Subianto decreased from 45.5 percent in November 2023 to 41.2 percent in December 2023. Previously, Prabowo's electability trend had always been increasing since September 2023.

               
Indo Riset Survey: Anies-Cak Imin's Electability Rises After the First Debate, Prabowo and Ganjar Decline

The decrease in electability also occurred to presidential candidate number 3 Ganjar Pranowo, from 24.4 percent in November 2023 to 22 percent in December 2023.

"Elektabilitas Anies" translates to "Anies' electability" in English.

"While at the same time, the voice of presidential candidate number 1, Anies Baswedan, experienced an increase. 'In the latest survey, Anies' voice increased from 24.7 percent in November 2023 to 28.3 percent in December 2023,' said Roki."

               
Indo Riset Survey: Anies-Cak Imin's Electability Rises After the First Debate, Prabowo and Ganjar Decline

The level of electability of the presidential and vice presidential candidates has also experienced a similar dynamic. The electability of the Anies-Muhaimin pair has increased from 24.8 percent in November 2023 to 28.3 percent in December 2023.

"Elektabilitas Prabowo-Gibran" translates to "Prabowo-Gibran's electability" in English.

While the decline in electability occurred for the Prabowo-Gibran pair from 45.1 percent (November 2023) to 40 percent in December 2023.

               

"The Ganjar and Mahfud pair also experienced a decrease in votes, from 24.8 percent in November 2023 to 22.3 percent in December 2023."

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"The chance of a presidential election happening in one round is still quite difficult according to the survey. Currently, the probability of a two-round presidential election may be higher," he said. This Indo Riset survey was conducted on 1,200 respondents distributed proportionally across 34 provinces from December 18 to 23, 2023. Respondents were selected using a multi-stage random sampling method, resulting in a margin of error of approximately 2.8 percent at a 95 percent confidence level."

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