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Dream - Several survey institutions have released the results of the quick count for the 2024 General Elections. Based on the temporary quick count results, a number of political parties are recorded to have failed to make it to the Indonesian House of Representatives (DPR RI).
It is known that the requirement for political parties to pass is if they can exceed the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent.
Based on the quick count results from Charta Politika with a vote acquisition of 92.3 percent as of Thursday, February 15, 2024 at 09:29 WIB, there are at least 9 political parties that failed to enter the Senayan. Namely, PSI, Perindo, Partai Buruh, Gelora, PKN, Hanura, Garuda, PBB, and Partai Ummat.
"Samples are selected using the stratified clustered random sampling method. The margin of error for quick count Charta Politika is ±1 percent at a 99 percent confidence level."
Meanwhile, the quick count results from the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) show almost the same results. Data as of Thursday, February 15, 2024, at 13.25 WIB with 98.74 percent of votes counted, 10 political parties failed to reach the parliamentary threshold. The 10 political parties are the Labor Party, Gelora PKN, Hanura, Garuda, PBB, PSI, Perindo, PPP, and the Ummat Party.
Quick count CSIS uses a population of 2,000 polling stations spread across 38 provinces. The sample is selected using the multistage random sampling method. The confidence level of this quick count is 95 percent with a margin of error of ±1 percent. This quick count involves at least 1 million voters. However, it should be noted that the quick count results come from surveys and not from official calculations. The official vote count is still awaiting the calculation of votes by the General Election Commission (KPU).
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