Simulation of Head to Head If Presidential Election 2024 2 Rounds, Here are the Results

Simulation Head to Head If the 2024 Presidential Election is held in 2 Rounds, Here are the Results.

Simulation of Head to Head If Presidential Election 2024 2 Rounds, Here are the Results

Dream - The Indonesian Political Indicator released the latest survey regarding the simulation if the 2024 Presidential Election takes place in two rounds. The result shows that pair number 2, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, obtained the highest number of votes.

"Prabowo Vs Anies"

In the first simulation, Prabowo-Gibran obtained 62.4 percent when competing against Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin) who received 28.4 percent. Meanwhile, 9.2 percent of respondents did not answer.

The second simulation, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD received a score of 42.0 percent when competing against Anies-Cak Imin who obtained 40.5 percent. Meanwhile, undecided voters accounted for 17.5 percent.

"Prabowo Vs Ganjar"

The following is the translation of the given 'Bahasa' text to 'English' while preserving any HTML tags: Third simulation, Prabowo-Gibran obtained 59.6 percent, if against Ganjar-Mahfud who got 27.7 percent. No answer 12.7 percent.

"\u201cPrabowo - Gibran potentially can win in one round, but the current votes are still within the survey error range of +\/- 2.9%, so there is still a potential for the presidential election to take place in two rounds,\u201d"

translation

Meanwhile, a strong base or a small number of voters change their choices, with the highest at 45.2 percent for Prabowo-Gibran. Next, Anies-Muhaimin at 21.2 percent and Ganjar-Mahfud at 17.1 percent. Meanwhile, those who did not answer were 16.4 percent. This survey was conducted from January 28 to February 4, 2024, using the multistage random sampling method. The survey respondents were 1,200 people with a confidence level of 95 percent and a margin of error of 2.9 percent.

"Previously, the Indonesian Political Indicator also released a survey on the electability of presidential and vice-presidential candidates. The result shows that the presidential and vice-presidential pair number 2, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has the highest electability."

"The result, ladies and gentlemen, if we use a simulation of the ballot, it is Mr. Prabowo-Gibran with 51.8 percent," said Burhanuddin Muhtadi, Executive Director of Indikator Politik Indonesia, on Friday, February 9, 2024. According to the survey results, pair number 1, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin), has an electability of 24.1 percent, while pair number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD, has a selection rate of 19.6 percent. "And there are still 4.5 percent of our respondents who, during the survey, said they don't know or didn't answer," said Burhanuddin.

Burhanuddin stated that the survey results above open up the opportunity for the 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres) to be held in a more open single round. This is because the electability trend of Prabowo-Gibran continues to show an increase, while the current popularity rate is already above 50 percent. "So, if previously the probability of a single round was fifty-fifty, now it has increased," said Burhanuddin.

News

Indicator Survey: Prabowo-Gibran at 51.8 Percent, Is There Still a Chance for a Second Round?

He reminded that this survey has a margin of error of around 2.9 percent, so the real electability of Prabowo-Gibran could still be below 50%