Dream - The Indonesian Political Indicator Survey shows that 10 parties are at risk of not passing the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent and failing to enter the DPR in the 2024 Election. Some of the parties mentioned are PPP with a 2.2 percent electability. Then below it, there is PSI with 2 percent and Perindo with 1.2 percent.

However, Executive Director of the Indonesian Political Indicator Burhanuddin Muhtadi said that these three parties still have a chance to enter parliament. "There are two parties that have the potential to enter or not, namely PPP and PSI, including Perindo. But as of today, PPP and PSI are below the 4 percent parliamentary threshold. This means that in general there is still time for both parties to create surprises," he said, Friday, February 9, 2024.

While the party that is estimated to pass the parliament is 8, namely PDIP with an electability of 19.6 percent. Then the second position is occupied by Gerindra Party, which received 17.2 percent. The third position is occupied by Golkar with an electability rate of 12.1 percent, followed by PKB with 9.5 percent.

Next, PKS has a percentage of 7.9; Democrat has a percentage of 6.9; Nasdem has a percentage of 6.7; and finally, PAN with 6.4 percent. The Indonesian Political Indicator survey was conducted from January 28 to February 4, 2024. Meanwhile, the sampling method used was multistage random sampling with a total sample of 1,200 respondents.

According to the survey results, the pair number 1 Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin) has an electability of 24.1 percent, while the pair number 3 Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD has a selection rate of 19.6 percent. "And there are still 4.5 percent of our respondents who said they don't know or didn't answer during the survey," said Burhanuddin.

Burhanuddin explained that the survey results above open up the opportunity for the Presidential Election (Pilpres) 2024 to be conducted in a more open single round. This is because the electability trend of Prabowo-Gibran continues to show an increase, while the current popularity rate is already above 50 percent. "So, if previously the probability of a single round was fifty-fifty, now it has increased," said Burhanuddin.