"Dream - The social media analysis agency Drone Emprit reveals the facts behind the series of trending topics related to Presidential Candidate (Capres) number 2 Prabowo Subianto on social media X (Twitter). The founder of Drone Emprit, Ismail Fahmi, stated that this analysis started from netizens' questions about whether the topics that are talked about every day and are trending on Twitter Indonesia come from bots or are organic."
In analyzing, Drone Emprit compares two trending topics that have emerged and conversations related to the presidential candidate number 2 supported by those topics. This analysis was conducted on Twitter during the period of January 24-31, 2024. For January 30, 2024, Drone Emprit found the topic "MuliakanIBU SehatkanANAK" which had been trending in Indonesia for quite a while. Another topic is "MilihPakBOWO MilihMENANG" which reached the top trending topic position in Indonesia on January 31, 2024.
"We will analyze these two topics, how the supporting conversation patterns are," wrote Ismail in his tweet on X."
"Drone Emprit then illustrated both topics in a single Social Network Analysis (SNA) map, to determine the relative position of supporters of the two trending hashtags against the general conversation about Prabowo. The results show that from the SNA map, there are 12 clusters related to this trending topic. Among these, several large clusters are numbered 1 to 3, while the most numerous are small clusters numbered 4 to 12."
Ismail said that the two topics that are trending topics are mostly in cluster 1. "There is very little overlap with those talking about presidential candidate 02," he said. He explained that cluster 1 is the creator of daily trending topics. From the SNA map, it can be seen that there are only a few accounts in cluster 1 that receive high retweets. Ismail also found that the most numerous are accounts dedicated to retweeting.
"If we look at the number of accounts based on followers, both trending topics have a similar distribution pattern. As many as 62 percent of accounts have fewer than 25 followers. Ismail also compared it with the conversation cluster about "Cape Kuliah" from several autobase of Kampus FESS that has a relatively natural conversation. The result shows that more than 60 percent of accounts have followers ranging from 50 to 10 thousand."
"Meanwhile, cluster 2 contains social media influencers and is natural in nature. Groups of natural and real Twitter users are commonly found in this cluster."
"
"This Cluster 2 supports presidential candidate 02. There are accounts like Kemhan_RI, the PDemocrat party and Gerindra, as well as top influencers such as Budimandjatmiko, Heraloebss, bengkeldodo, etc.," explained Ismail. Meanwhile, clusters 3 and 4 are supporters of Anies, with accounts supporting candidate number 2 such as OposisiCerdas, Catatan_4li, and others. While cluster 4 supports Ganjar, such as Ganjar_Mahfud03, ch_chotimah2.
""Then, cluster 5 #MENATAMASADEPAN. Looking at the pattern, Ismail said, it is highly likely that this is a network of a bot. The reason is that there is one central account that is retweeted many times by several accounts on the periphery. In addition, this cluster also has no interaction with neutral accounts from cluster 2."
"Next, clusters 6 to 10. Looking at the pattern, these clusters are solitary, forming closed interactions with their supporting accounts. "And each cluster raises a hashtag to support presidential candidate 02," wrote Ismail."
"Similarly, with these two clusters (cluster 11 and 12), they isolate themselves, not interacting with natural accounts," he continued.
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