Waduh, Suhu Panas Ekstrem Bisa Sebabkan Kepunahan pada Badak

"Waduh, Extreme Heat Can Cause Extinction in Rhinos"

"Increase in Temperature"

The following is the translation of the given 'Bahasa' text to 'English' while preserving any html tags: "Black and white rhinoceroses throughout the southern region of Africa are expected to be greatly affected by the temperature increase triggered by climate change in national parks, where the majority of the remaining population of this species is found, according to the latest paper in the Biodiversity journal."

Rhinos are very vulnerable to heat because they do not sweat, but cool themselves by seeking shade or bathing in water. This paper is the first analysis of how climate change can affect this endangered species.

Waduh, Suhu Panas Ekstrem Bisa Sebabkan Kepunahan pada Badak

"In general, most, if not all, species will, in one way or another, be negatively affected by climate change that occurs,""
The main author, Hlelowenkhosi S. Mamba, a research student at the University of Massachusetts Amherst, as quoted in the statement.

Source: Newsweek

Reduce the Impact of Climate Change

"Therefore, it is important for nature conservators to conduct macroecological assessments in large areas to identify trends and model the future for some of the most vulnerable species in the world, in order to prepare themselves to reduce the impacts of climate change and minimize the loss of global biodiversity."

The two species of African rhinoceros have experienced a rapid decline in population, mainly due to hunting. The white rhinoceros previously consisted of two species, the northern white rhinoceros and the southern white rhinoceros, but the northern white rhinoceros is now considered extinct in the wild. The southern white rhinoceros is listed as "near threatened" on the IUCN Red List, with only about 10,000 individuals remaining in the wild. The black rhinoceros is listed as "critically endangered" with about 3,100 individuals remaining.

Researchers are investigating how the rising temperatures in large national parks across South Africa, Namibia, Zimbabwe, Kenya, Botswana, Tanzania, and Eswatini can affect the future of rhinoceros species living there.

"Model Two Scenarios"

They modeled two scenarios in the parks, one based on the high greenhouse gas emission scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and the other representing a future with lower emissions, and predicted the amount of rainfall and temperature that each park will experience in 2055 and 2085.

"Possible Drought"

They found that in every park, it is expected that the temperature will increase by 2.2 degrees Celsius in 2055 and 2.5 degrees in 2085 in a lighter emission scenario, while in the IPCC emission scenario, every park will increase by 2.8 degrees Celsius in 2055 and 4.6 degrees in 2085. Almost all parks are predicted to become drier in this scenario.

Then, they calculate the probability that each park will remain suitable for rhinos, and find that the temperature increase will exceed the limit tolerated by rhinos, exacerbated by a decrease in rainfall.

"The temperature conditions in all research parks will become increasingly unsuitable for both species, but it is estimated that the white rhino will be affected earlier than the black rhino," wrote the authors in the paper."
"All parks show a drastic change in the probability of the existence of rhinos."

Source: Newsweek

"In the high emission scenario, the likelihood of both species remaining will decrease to zero by 2085. 'All research parks will have a probability of zero for the existence of species throughout their regions if conditions reach the representation of the IPCC high emission scenario 2085 by the end of this century,' they wrote. These findings, although grim, can help prepare conservation efforts for future challenges."

"This paper highlights the importance of using climate prediction for park and rhinoceros management."

The following is the translation of the given 'Bahasa' text to 'English' while preserving any HTML tags: "the words of the author along with Timothy Randhir, an environmental conservation professor at UMass Amherst, as quoted in the statement."

"We suggest that park managers consider increasing water supply, tree coverage, paying attention to stress, and planning rhino migration as the world experiences warming."

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