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Indicator of Politics Reveals the Cause of Ganjar-Mahfud's Resounding Defeat in the 2024 Presidential Election.

Indicator of Politics Reveals the Cause of Ganjar-Mahfud's Resounding Defeat in the 2024 Presidential Election.

Dream - The Indikator Politik Indonesia survey institution revealed the reason for the low votes of the number 3 pair, Ganjar-Mahfud, and their position at the bottom in the quick count results of the 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres). The Executive Director of Indikator Politik Indonesia, Burhanuddin Muhtadi, stated that Ganjar-Mahfud's low votes were due to the mismatch between the party elite's democratic narrative and the mass base.

"The supporting base is not in line with the PDIP narrative and Mas Ganjar, who overly focuses on democracy as civil liberties, right? The criticism is sharp, isn't it,""

The Executive Director of Indokator Politik Indonesia, Burhanuddin Muhtadi

               

According to Burhanuddin, Prabowo and Ganjar's voter base tends to be satisfied with the current state of democracy, which is considered good. "Now, once again, this explains why candidate number 03 underperforms," quoted Dream from merdeka.com.

Political Indicators Reveal Reasons for Ganjar-Mahfud's Crushing Defeat in the 2024 Presidential Election

Sharp criticism from the Ganjar-Mahfud camp regarding the freedom of democracy, constitutional violations, and the ethics of democracy, apparently does not align with their supporters who are satisfied with Jokowi's era of democracy, which reached 76.1 percent. Meanwhile, the number of dissenting opinions is only 22.9 percent.

Many supporters of Ganjar-Mahfud feel satisfied with the democracy of the Jokowi era because they see it from the perspective of ease in earning a living and getting a good job. "But when asked about their support base, they are satisfied, so it will indeed be difficult for Mas Ganjar in the 2024 election because the aspirations of the elites do not align with his time," he said.

This is different from the number 1 pair Anies-Cak Imin. The issue of a bad democratic condition is more accepted by the supporters of the AMIN pair by achieving a percentage of dissatisfaction of 41.8 percent and satisfaction of 55.9 percent. "Mr. Anies sells dissatisfaction with democracy from the perspective of civil liberties. At least 41.8 percent feel it. So if selling democracy is sick among the supporters of Mas Anies, it has resonance," said Burhanuddin.

"Less Militant"

That was captured from the survey results of Ganjar-Mahfud supporters, about 49.6 percent do not want to disclose their choice. Meanwhile, the voters who openly declare their support for Ganjar-Mahfud are only 16.8 percent.

               
Political Indicators Reveal Reasons for Ganjar-Mahfud's Crushing Defeat in the 2024 Presidential Election

The condition reversed compared to Prabowo-Gibran supporters who were only 39.1 percent did not disclose their choice, and there were 20.7 percent who openly supported.

"While for the supporters of the Anies-Muhaimin candidate pair, there are 36.2 percent who did not disclose their support, and there are 26.2 percent who actively expressed their support for Anies-Muhaimin. 'This also explains why the supporters of Mas Ganjar and Prof Mahfud have the least support, because their supporters tend to be less active compared to the other two pairs,' he said."

The following translation is done while preserving the HTML tags: "As for this survey, it was conducted based on a total of 2,975 respondents (99.2 percent) with a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percent at a confidence level of 95 percent. The respondents were selected using the two-stage stratified random sampling method with an initial sample size of 3,000 polling stations (TPS) distributed proportionally in each electoral district."

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